PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 2
PSV
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
4 - 2
PSV
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PSV
4 - 2
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
PSV
3 - 0
SPA
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 0
HER
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
GRO
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
ACH
5 - 3
HER
20%
23%
58%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 2
HER
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |