PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
GAE
3 - 1
PSV
33%
22%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
PSV
3 - 1
TEL
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
VVD
3 - 1
PSV
32%
24%
43%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
MVV
1 - 1
PSV
28%
25%
48%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
PSV
0 - 2
AJA
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
HER
1 - 0
MVV
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
AJA
1 - 0
HER
79%
14%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
HER
2 - 2
ELI
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
FEY
5 - 2
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1966 |
HER
0 - 0
GAE
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |