PSV vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
NAC
1 - 0
PSV
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
PSV
3 - 2
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
MVV
0 - 3
PSV
24%
22%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
PSV
0 - 0
DWS
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ADO
0 - 1
PSV
31%
23%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
HER
0 - 0
GRO
59%
19%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
AJA
1 - 4
HER
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
TEL
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
SIT
1 - 4
HER
45%
24%
32%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
VVD
1 - 4
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |