PSV vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
FEY
0 - 0
PSV
40%
24%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
RKC
1 - 4
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
PSV
2 - 1
AZA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
VIT
1 - 0
PSV
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
AJA
0 - 2
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
FOR
0 - 3
RJC
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
FOR
2 - 0
WIL
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
VOL
2 - 0
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
UTR
0 - 1
FOR
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
FOR
0 - 0
RKC
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |