PSV vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
NAC
2 - 1
PSV
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
28%
24%
47%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
NEC
4 - 0
PSV
48%
21%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
PSV
1 - 5
SPA
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
XER
1 - 2
PSV
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
FOR
4 - 2
TWE
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
MVV
2 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
FOR
2 - 1
SIT
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
DWS
2 - 0
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
FOR
5 - 0
VOL
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |