PSV vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
GRO
4 - 0
PSV
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
PSV
2 - 1
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
FEY
4 - 2
PSV
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
PSV
0 - 1
GAE
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1967 |
PSV
2 - 2
TWE
75%
14%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
FOR
1 - 0
SIT
59%
21%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
SPA
4 - 0
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
FOR
1 - 1
MVV
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
DWS
0 - 1
FOR
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
AJA
1 - 0
FOR
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |