PSV vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1964 |
ENS
2 - 2
PSV
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
PSV
2 - 0
SPA
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
FCB
2 - 4
PSV
26%
22%
52%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
PSV
3 - 1
MVV
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VVD
2 - 3
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1964 |
FOR
1 - 2
FEY
30%
25%
46%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
GRO
2 - 2
FOR
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
FOR
1 - 2
DWS
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
FOR
4 - 0
VVD
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ADO
1 - 2
FOR
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |