PSV vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
21%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
WIL
3 - 2
PSV
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
PSV
1 - 0
ELI
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSV
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
NAC
4 - 2
PSV
45%
22%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1960 |
PSV
4 - 2
FEY
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
FOR
1 - 4
FEY
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
VVV
0 - 0
FOR
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
FOR
2 - 1
RAP
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
MVV
3 - 1
FOR
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1960 |
FOR
3 - 2
TSV
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |