PSV vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
2º
1º
36
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 76 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 51 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
65.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
60% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League
|
28.5% | 5.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
8% | 23.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
2% | 32.5% |
|
Next round
|
1.5% | 38% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
PSV
8 - 0
KON
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
PSV
20%
21%
59%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 0
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
PSV
6 - 1
TWE
49%
23%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
UTR
2 - 5
PSV
36%
24%
41%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
MVV
1 - 2
FEY
13%
18%
69%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FEY
5 - 2
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
FEY
4 - 2
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
RKC
2 - 3
FEY
16%
19%
65%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 1
FOR
70%
18%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |