Champions League 1/16
Global 7-3
PSV vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
PSV
5 - 0
VIT
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VVV
0 - 5
PSV
21%
24%
54%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
FEN
2 - 1
PSV
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
PSV
1 - 0
GAE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
TRA
1 - 1
FEN
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
FEN
2 - 1
PSV
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
FEN
2 - 1
ADA
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
FEN
2 - 0
BUR
70%
20%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
KIR
0 - 4
FEN
31%
30%
39%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |