PSV vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1996 |
RKC
1 - 3
PSV
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1996 |
FCB
2 - 2
PSV
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
PSV
3 - 0
RJC
74%
16%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
FEY
0 - 0
PSV
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
PSV
7 - 0
VOL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
FEY
3 - 0
UTR
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
UTR
0 - 0
RKC
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
UTR
0 - 0
SPA
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 2
NEC
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
VOL
0 - 1
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |