PSV vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 0
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 4
PSV
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
0 - 0
ASS
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRA
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1976 |
UTR
0 - 1
RJC
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
AMS
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
AMS
2 - 0
UTR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ADO
0 - 0
UTR
65%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |