PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
ZWO
1 - 1
PSV
12%
22%
66%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
PSV
7 - 2
AZA
71%
17%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1985 |
PSV
7 - 1
HFC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1985 |
PSV
0 - 0
BOS
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
FOR
2 - 1
PSV
17%
21%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
TWE
3 - 0
VOL
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 6
SPA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
RJC
5 - 1
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 2
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |