PSV vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 3
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
GRO
2 - 2
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
PSV
3 - 1
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
TWE
1 - 1
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
TWE
24%
26%
51%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
TWE
4 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
HFC
1 - 0
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |