PSV vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
SPA
4 - 2
PSV
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
PSV
4 - 1
ADO
69%
16%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
PSV
1 - 1
VVV
60%
20%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
VVV
1 - 1
PSV
50%
21%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
AZA
1 - 2
PSV
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 0
FEY
35%
22%
44%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
VVV
0 - 1
GRO
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
49%
23%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 0
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
GRO
4 - 0
RAP
54%
22%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |