PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 0
PSV
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 2
PSV
16%
24%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 0
WAG
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
RJC
2 - 3
PSV
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
PSV
1 - 1
GAE
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 2
NAC
53%
24%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
WAG
0 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 0
RJC
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
GAE
4 - 2
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |