Champions League 1/16
Global 11-4
PSV vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRO
77%
14%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
ESB
3 - 4
PSV
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
DWS
1 - 2
PSV
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
PSV
3 - 2
FOR
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
ADO
1 - 1
PSV
33%
23%
44%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
ESB
3 - 4
PSV
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1962 |
DUK
5 - 0
ESB
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
ESB
0 - 0
DUK
52%
21%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
ESB
0 - 0
LIN
57%
19%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
LIN
1 - 2
ESB
54%
19%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |