Champions League 1/16
Global 7-1
PSV vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.6%
Win probability
3.87
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.9%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.1%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.8%
2.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
DUN
1 - 1
PSV
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
VVV
2 - 0
PSV
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
PSV
5 - 1
NAC
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
DUN
1 - 1
PSV
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1969 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIV
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1969 |
LIV
10 - 0
DUN
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
DUN
0 - 3
GLA
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1968 |
GLA
6 - 1
DUN
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |