PSV vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRA
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
PSV
0 - 4
ARS
40%
26%
35%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 3
PSV
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
AUX
0 - 0
PSV
43%
26%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
PSV
4 - 0
RKC
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BVB
1 - 0
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
BVB
2 - 1
AUX
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ROS
0 - 1
BVB
30%
27%
44%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
ARS
2 - 0
BVB
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
BVB
1 - 1
S04
47%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |