Qualif. Champions Playoffs Final
Global 1-2
PSV vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PSV
4 - 1
BVO
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 1
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
12%
18%
71%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
MID
0 - 1
PSV
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 4
PSV
47%
22%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 2
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 1
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
ARO
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPA
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 2
SLB
14%
20%
67%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |