PSV vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
NAC
3 - 4
PSV
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1998 |
SCH
3 - 3
PSV
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
PSV
2 - 2
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1998 |
HJK
1 - 3
PSV
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
PSV
5 - 0
UTR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1998 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CAM
0 - 5
SLB
20%
26%
55%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1998 |
SLB
2 - 1
KAI
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
FCP
3 - 1
SLB
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
SLB
4 - 1
SPB
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |