Champions League 1/16
Global 0-2
PSV vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
PSV
3 - 0
AZA
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
PSV
2 - 1
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
66%
18%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
BVV
0 - 3
PSV
8%
15%
77%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
PSV
2 - 0
GAE
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
KAI
1 - 1
BYM
26%
25%
50%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
BYM
3 - 1
HSV
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
FCN
1 - 2
BYM
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
HER
1 - 2
BYM
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
BYM
3 - 0
KOL
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |