PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
4.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1988 |
RMA
1 - 1
PSV
67%
19%
15%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
PSV
1 - 0
HFC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
ZWO
0 - 6
PSV
14%
23%
64%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
PSV
3 - 1
WIL
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1988 |
PSV
0 - 0
GIR
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
AZA
2 - 1
FCD
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
SPA
0 - 1
AZA
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
AZA
4 - 1
RJC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
AZA
0 - 1
BOS
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
GRO
4 - 2
AZA
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |