PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
PSV
1 - 0
WLO
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
PSV
1 - 0
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
WLO
3 - 5
PSV
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
ADO
1 - 3
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
FCB
1 - 1
AZA
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
AZA
1 - 1
RJC
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
AZA
1 - 1
FCB
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
SPA
2 - 1
AZA
43%
25%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
AZA
4 - 2
FEY
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |