PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
MVV
0 - 1
PSV
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
EXC
2 - 3
PSV
12%
22%
66%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1973 |
PSV
0 - 0
ADO
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
BOS
1 - 4
PSV
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 1
GAE
36%
30%
35%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
AMS
0 - 3
AZA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
AZA
2 - 1
HFC
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 0
AZA
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 0
SPA
18%
26%
56%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | +2 |