PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
PSV
1 - 0
ZLI
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1970 |
PSV
0 - 0
TWE
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
1 - 0
PSV
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ZLI
2 - 1
PSV
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1970 |
PSV
3 - 0
EXC
79%
12%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
42%
31%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
AZA
0 - 1
GAE
30%
31%
38%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
2 - 1
AZA
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
AZA
0 - 4
FEY
14%
25%
61%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |