PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
PSV
4 - 2
RAP
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
PSV
2 - 2
NEC
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
RAP
1 - 2
PSV
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
AZA
1 - 1
SHS
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
HFC
0 - 0
AZA
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
GRO
4 - 1
AZA
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
14%
18%
67%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 1
SPA
38%
31%
31%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |