PSV vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
PSV
1 - 0
SPA
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
UTR
1 - 5
PSV
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 0
FEY
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 1
PSV
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PSV
1 - 1
TWE
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
31%
29%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ATM
4 - 0
MAL
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
ATM
4 - 0
S04
56%
24%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
S04
1 - 0
ATM
38%
29%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATM
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |