Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 14-1
PSV vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
PSV
3 - 2
FEY
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
MVV
1 - 3
PSV
22%
26%
52%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
GRO
1 - 2
PSV
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
PSV
3 - 0
RJC
89%
8%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
SDL
6 - 1
ARD
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
ARD
3 - 2
SDL
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
ROM
3 - 1
ARD
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
ARD
0 - 0
ROM
36%
24%
41%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1958 |
REI
6 - 2
ARD
86%
9%
5%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |