PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
RJC
1 - 1
PSV
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
PSV
0 - 1
TOT
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
TOT
0 - 1
PSV
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
UTR
3 - 1
PSV
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRA
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 3
AJA
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
AJA
6 - 2
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RJC
2 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |