PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
48%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 6
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 1
FEY
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 1
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
RBC
1 - 2
PSV
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
FCK
1 - 2
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
48%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
RKC
2 - 4
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 1
VIT
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
59%
21%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |