PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
FEY
4 - 2
PSV
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
PSV
0 - 1
GAE
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1967 |
PSV
2 - 2
TWE
75%
14%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1967 |
VVD
2 - 3
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
PSV
4 - 1
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
AJA
6 - 0
SIT
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
SPA
2 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
AJA
1 - 0
FOR
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1967 |
AJA
8 - 3
MVV
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
DWS
1 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |