PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
TEL
0 - 1
PSV
22%
21%
57%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
PSV
1 - 3
SIT
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
HER
1 - 4
PSV
32%
22%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
PSV
1 - 0
NAC
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 2
PSV
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRO
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
AJA
0 - 0
VVD
73%
15%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
TEL
0 - 0
AJA
24%
21%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 0
SIT
80%
13%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
33%
21%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |