PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
VOL
3 - 1
PSV
23%
21%
56%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
PSV
2 - 1
MVV
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
GRO
3 - 2
PSV
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
PSV
2 - 1
DWS
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ENS
0 - 1
PSV
37%
22%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
AJA
3 - 4
FOR
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1961 |
AJA
2 - 1
UJP
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
NAC
1 - 3
AJA
27%
22%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
AJA
1 - 3
FEY
53%
21%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
30%
21%
49%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |