PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
PSV
4 - 2
RAP
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
PSV
1 - 1
ENS
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
MVV
0 - 1
PSV
37%
22%
42%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
PSV
1 - 1
ADO
65%
17%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
FCB
6 - 3
PSV
21%
21%
59%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
AJA
0 - 0
ENS
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
MVV
3 - 0
AJA
33%
23%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
ADO
3 - 1
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
SPA
4 - 4
AJA
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |