PSV Wien vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 2
TFW
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
NEU
2 - 1
TFW
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
TFW
2 - 1
FCW
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
TFW
2 - 0
KRE
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
TFW
4 - 0
WIE
33%
23%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
DON
2 - 4
ADM
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
DON
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
VIE
3 - 0
DON
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -3 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
DON
0 - 0
EIS
34%
25%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
DON
1 - 1
SKN
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |