PSTC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
82.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
16%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSTC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PST
0 - 1
PAR
11%
17%
73%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LON
3 - 0
PST
75%
17%
8%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
PST
2 - 1
YPI
19%
22%
58%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ATP
2 - 2
PST
86%
11%
3%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
PST
0 - 2
PRU
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 2
SAO
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 2
SAO
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 2
MIR
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAO
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
5 - 2
PPE
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |