Paranaense 2 Semi-finals
Global 4-4
PSTC vs Patriotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSTC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
PST
3 - 1
CAB
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
PST
12%
16%
72%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PST
0 - 1
PFC
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PST
0 - 1
IGU
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GEM
1 - 3
PST
53%
24%
24%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Patriotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
PFC
74%
17%
9%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 1
LEC
30%
22%
49%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PST
0 - 1
PFC
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GEM
1 - 2
PFC
69%
19%
13%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PFC
4 - 1
AEC
30%
21%
49%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |