PSNI vs Moyola Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
52.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DOL
2 - 1
PSN
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
LIM
4 - 1
PSN
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PSN
0 - 2
LIM
8%
16%
76%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
PSN
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
MOY
3 - 2
PSN
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Moyola Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MOY
0 - 1
TOB
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 1
MOY
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
MOY
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MOY
0 - 2
QUB
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MOY
0 - 1
COA
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |