PSNI vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RRF
3 - 0
PSN
59%
19%
23%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PSN
0 - 3
TOB
37%
21%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PSN
3 - 2
MOY
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DOL
2 - 1
PSN
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
LIM
4 - 1
PSN
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
QUB
2 - 2
ARC
72%
16%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 3
BAN
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 2
BRF
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RRF
0 - 1
ARC
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ARC
2 - 1
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |