PSMS Medan vs Persiraja Banda Aceh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSMS Medan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PSP
0 - 2
MED
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PST
0 - 4
MED
36%
24%
39%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MED
1 - 0
TGR
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MED
4 - 2
PSK
63%
20%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PBA
2 - 1
MED
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Persiraja Banda Aceh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PBA
1 - 1
PSK
56%
23%
20%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SRI
2 - 4
PBA
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
PBA
2 - 1
PSP
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
PBA
3 - 1
PST
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PBA
2 - 1
MED
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |