PSMS Medan vs Persiraja Banda Aceh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSMS Medan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KAU
1 - 1
MED
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
MED
1 - 0
SEM
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
PSP
3 - 4
MED
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MED
2 - 1
SRI
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MED
1 - 0
KAU
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Persiraja Banda Aceh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PBA
2 - 0
SRI
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
PBA
0 - 0
PSP
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PBA
1 - 0
PSG
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
SRI
2 - 0
PBA
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SEM
3 - 0
PBA
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |