PSM vs Arema FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
6º
6º
6
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 59 |
1º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 58 |
2º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 55 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 54 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 53 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 51 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 51 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
8º
|
4.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
9º
|
4.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 46 |
11º
|
3.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 45 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 43 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 42 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 32 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 30 |
18º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
26.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
PSM
0 - 0
PER
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
PSM
3 - 1
DEW
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PSB
1 - 2
PSM
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PSM
3 - 0
PRS
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
PSM
3 - 2
RCF
60%
21%
20%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
ARE
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
ARE
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 2
PUS
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 0
DEW
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 1
ARE
43%
23%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |