Pskov 747 vs Sever Murmansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
6º
3º
22
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
22 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pskov 747
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
PSK
37%
25%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
PSK
2 - 3
LUK
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PSK
2 - 0
KAR
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 1
PSK
75%
17%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PSK
0 - 2
SLG
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SLG
2 - 1
SEV
14%
17%
70%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SEV
4 - 0
KKO
88%
9%
4%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
SEV
3 - 0
SLG
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 1
PSK
75%
17%
9%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SVZ
1 - 3
SEV
10%
15%
75%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | +1 |