PSG II vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 1
PSG
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PSG
2 - 2
MOU
40%
28%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 1
PSG
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
JUR
0 - 1
PSG
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PSG
2 - 1
SOC
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 3
GRE
25%
28%
48%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 2
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 2
LYO
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 1
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 3
YZE
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |