PSG II vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 2
PSG
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 0
CSL
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
JUR
0 - 5
PSG
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PSG
4 - 1
RAO
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAN
0 - 2
PSG
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ARR
4 - 0
VAL
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
ESW
58%
25%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 2
VAL
29%
27%
45%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VAL
4 - 0
CHA
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LES
1 - 3
VAL
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |