PSG II vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AAC
1 - 0
PSG
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PSG
1 - 1
AVI
48%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
PSG
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PSG
1 - 1
LIL
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AUB
1 - 0
PSG
41%
26%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIM
0 - 2
DRA
72%
17%
10%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
DRA
3 - 3
STR
12%
21%
68%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
DRA
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DRA
1 - 1
ALF
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |