PSG II vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 2
SEN
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
PSG
32%
29%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 1
VAL
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 2
PSG
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 0
CSL
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAB
21%
26%
54%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAB
3 - 1
ALF
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 0
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
RED
2 - 1
CAB
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |