Provincial Ranco vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
54.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
4 - 3
VAL
33%
22%
45%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
JOA
4 - 1
PRO
55%
21%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
TRA
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
JOA
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 1
PRO
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
PUE
3 - 0
DEP
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 0
IQU
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
PUE
57%
25%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 0
PUE
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |