Provincial Ovalle vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
14º
11º
42
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
19% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 3
CSL
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
REN
1 - 0
OVA
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
OVA
4 - 0
JOA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
OVA
64%
22%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
CDS
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 1
PUE
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 0
DEP
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ALP
0 - 7
PUE
10%
17%
73%
|
54 | 7 | 47 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 0
GVE
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 3
PUE
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |