Provincial Ovalle vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
14º
8º
42
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 3
CSL
11%
18%
71%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
REN
1 - 0
OVA
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
OVA
4 - 0
JOA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
OVA
64%
22%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
CDS
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 1
PUE
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 0
DEP
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ALP
0 - 7
PUE
10%
17%
73%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 0
GVE
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 3
PUE
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |